Polymarket data shows Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump’s lead over his Democratic opponent, Vice President Kamala Harris, has weakened but remains dominant.

As per the data, the twice-impeached former president’s odds declined from 66.9% to 54%.

Meanwhile, Harris has seen a substantial increase in her chances, rising from 33.5% to 46.1%. This shift reflects changing market sentiment as Election Day, Nov. 5, approaches.

Built on the Ethereum blockchain, Polymarket allows its users to buy and sell shares in different real-world outcomes by betting a stablecoin (USDC), rather than more volatile cryptocurrencies.

According to the Wall Street Journal, a Polymarket gambler known as Théo is wagering more than $30 million on a Trump victory.

Iowa poll, Epstein tapes

The shift in momentum comes as the latest Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll results bode well for Harris.

According to Ann Selzer, a prominent American pollster known for being highly accurate, Harris leads Trump in Iowa by three percentage points.

According to the poll, Harris retained 47% support compared to Trump’s 44% among likely voters. This represents a major swing from September’s poll, which showed Trump having a 4-point advantage.

Selzer told Newsweek that the same methodology was used this year as in 2016 and 2020 — two years when Trump won Iowa.

Meanwhile, The Daily Beast r

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Author: Vignesh Karunanidhi