The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s legal campaign against prediction market platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi can’t just be shut down, according to Caroline Pham, the acting agency chairman put in place by President Donald Trump.
Pham said the agency will gather experts for a roundtable meeting, probably next month, that can build a case for how the commission ought to approach regulation and oversight of firms that offer betting on event contracts. She noted that despite her continued objections in recent years to former Chairman Rostin Behnam’s enforcement stance against prediction markets — including wagers made on sporting events and U.S. political outcomes — the agency moved too far on its path to easily reverse it.
“Unfortunately, the undue delay and anti-innovation policies of the past several years have severely restricted the CFTC’s ability to pivot to common-sense regulation of prediction markets,” Pham said. “The current commission interpretations regarding event contracts are a sinkhole of legal uncertainty and an inappropriate constraint on the new administration.”
Setting up the roundtable is a “necessary first step in order to establish a holistic regulatory framework that will both foster thriving prediction market
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Author: Jesse Hamilton