In financial markets, the best entry opportunity is often fleeting and easily missed. Now, Solana’s SOL is flashing a timely second chance for those looking to trade bullish breakouts.
The SOL price has surged over 7% this week to $193, rebounding off a former resistance-turned-support identified by the trendline connecting highs from March and July. This line, and the one joining April and August lows, define a large descending channel comprising prolonged range play from March to October.
The prices broke out of the channel in early November, confirming a bullish bias. SOL quickly climbed to over $260 before retracing to the breakout point last week.
The roundtrip is called a bullish “throwback pattern” by technical analysts.
“Throwbacks occur when prices break out upward and then ‘throw back’ to their break out level. The retracement is an excellent level at which to participate in the upward trend,” Charles D. Kirkpatrick II and Julie R. Dahlquist said in the third edition of “Technical Analysis: The Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians.”
“They tend to be very short in time and distance but often provide a second, lesser-risk opportunity for a breakout trader to enter a position,” the authors write.
Breakout traders seek securities that have struggled to surpass a specific level. When the price finally breaks through, these traders enter the market, anticipating substantial movement in the direction of the breakout.
Trading breakouts demands constant monitoring of the markets and careful assessment of price and volume trends. Traders who miss the initial breakout often look to enter on a successful throwback, like SOL’s. These entries are generally perceived as low risk since the potential exit point or stop loss can be placed just below the breakout point.
The throwback seen above can be explained by behavioral aspects of trading, particularly prospect theory, which says that people are generally risk-averse when it comes to securing gains. In other words, when presented with potential profits, traders often book those gains rather than letting the winning trade run.
This tendency explains why the first post-breakout rally does not persist for long and prices usually fall back
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Author: Omkar Godbole
