- According to Amberdata, Bitcoin’s journey to $120k could be delayed.
- Slow Fed rate cut expectations and institutional positioning could negatively impact BTC
Options traders have been eyeing a $120k price target for Bitcoin [BTC] by March. However, the latest institutional market positioning and macroeconomic headwinds could delay the projection.
In its weekly update, Crypto Options analytics firm Amberdata cited sticky U.S inflation as a short-term risk for BTC and the overall market. Part of the report read,
“This upcoming week, we’ll get more color on inflation with Tuesday’s PPI and Wednesday’s CPI release. A strong economy and inflation pickup would be the bearish scenario for bonds. This would trickle into stocks and risk-assets as a secondary effect.”
Last week’s market correction and BTC’s retest of the range lows were triggered by growing expectations of fewer Fed rate cuts in 2025. In fact, markets were pricing a nearly 98% chance that the next Fed rate decision on 31 January would remain unchanged.
Coinbase analysts recently shared a similarly cautious outlook, driven by macro factors and supply from long-term holders. They claimed that BTC’s upside could be limited in the short term.
Bitcoin’s $120k target
Most expectations of a likely BTC rally above $100k are pegged to President-elect Donald Trump’s positive policy announcements for the space, including a strategic BTC reserve (SBR).
However, Amberdata cautioned that policy updates have most likely been priced in. Besides, the firm noted that institutional traders have been betting on
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Author: Benjamin Njiri
