ETHUSD 2025 10 09 11 15 02

Key Takeaways

What’s putting pressure on Ethereum’s liquid supply?

Ethereum institutional stacking and 1.3 million ETH queued for staking are tightening the float, reinforcing $4.5k as key support.

Could ETH regain momentum for Q4?

If bulls flip $4.5k into a strong base, a July-style run toward $4.7k by year-end is possible, supported by Grayscale’s 890k ETH lockup and ETF inflows.


Ethereum’s [ETH] $5k target appears to be slipping further out of reach.

Since its mid-August ATH of $4.9k, ETH has twice rejected $4.8k, forming a short-term resistance zone.

On-chain, the ETH/BTC ratio has been grinding sideways around 0.036, showing no relative strength versus Bitcoin [BTC].

In short, the kind of momentum and rotational flows that fueled ETH’s June-August 70%+ ramp to ATH aren’t showing up now, creating a notable divergence. Could this mean Ethereum’s Q4 run is losing steam?

Ethereum’s next move depends on a solid base

Ethereum’s structural resilience is getting put to the test.

In under 72 hours, ETH has pulled back 2.7% from $4,756, marking its second rejection at the $4.8k ceiling. Previously, ETH topped at $4,766 on the 13th of September, which triggered a 20% pullback over two weeks.

In fact, this unfolded as ETH’s weakest cycle in three months. Bulls failed to flip $4.5k into a reliable floor, dragging price back to early August levels. To avoid another shakeout, ETH needs to ignite a July-style rebound.

Source: TradingView (ETH/USDT)

Back then, ETH flipped $2.4k into support, fu

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Author: Ritika Gupta

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