Price outlook
Our analysis for 2025 forecasts bitcoin reaching a target of $150,000 in the first half of the year. However, an initial pullback may occur in Q1 if the newly inaugurated Trump administration fails to introduce the anticipated “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve” at the pace expected by the fast-moving crypto market.
Even without a fully implemented reserve strategy, bitcoin is expected to rally, driven by bullish momentum. We anticipate the price to enter the $130,000–$150,000 range by Q2 of 2025, supported by strong market catalysts.
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Key catalysts driving growth
- Regulatory progress: With major regulatory barriers cleared in jurisdictions like the U.S., corporate interest in bitcoin has surged.
- Corporate and institutional demand: A growing number of corporations are actively planning to deploy capital into cryptocurrency. Hedge funds, large corporates, and family offices are showing unprecedented enthusiasm for bitcoin exposure.
This widespread interest signifies a strong foundation for bitcoin’s upward trajectory in 2025.
Quantitative models and risks
While optimism runs high, our quantitative models flag no potential risks under $90,000. Specifically:
- The Vanguard model, which recently flipped to a buy signal for the first time this year, confirms bullish momentum around bitcoin.
- Weekly price closes above $100,000 should keep the bullish sentiment alive.
Insights from DeMark indicator
The DeMark TD Sequential indicator suggests bitcoin is on a bullish setup on the weekly timeframe after reaching its propulsion target of $108,300 and completing on
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Author: Nathan Batchelor
