Analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas assessed the likelihood of the SEC approving various ETF products. They claimed that a Litecoin ETF is most likely but gave a few unexpected predictions.

Specifically, they believe that Dogecoin is more likely to win approval than Solana or XRP because the SEC will view the meme coin as a commodity. Either way, they expect more clarity and SEC actions soon.

Security Vs Commodity Debate Will Impact XRP ETFs

Since former Chair Gary Gensler left the SEC, there has been a surge of new ETF applications. Several new firms are intensifying their efforts to win some popular ETFs, but there are newcomers.

For example, Bitwise filed one for Dogecoin, attempting to create the first meme coin ETF. Analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas tried to list ETF approval odds.

ETF Odds of Approval by Asset. Source: James Seyffart

Previously, Seyffart and Balchunas predicted that a Litecoin ETF is most likely, and their case was strengthened when the SEC acknowledged a relevant 19b-4 filing. Their decision to rank it at the lead is not surprising. Litecoin is already likely to be considered a commodity due to the network being a Bitcoin fork.

So, Litecoin has regulatory clarity making its odds stronger. More surprisingly, although most of the community considers Solana ETF as a strong contender, the analyst pair ranked Dogecoin higher. Seyffart explained:

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Author: Landon Manning

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