Bitcoin set an all-time high near $126,000 in early October while the altcoin market (excluding stablecoins), measured by TradingView’s TOTAL2ES index, remains below its November 2021 top, around $1.6 trillion, keeping the cycle confirmation test open for rotation beyond BTC.

TOTAL2ES continues to trade under that band into mid-October, which means altcoins have not printed a new high this cycle, even as Bitcoin has.

It managed to reach $1.48 trillion the same day Bitcoin printed its last all-time high, leaving it $120 billion behind 2021’s high, while Bitcoin smashed its 2021 high by 84%.

The near-term tape is being shaped by three forces that matter for whether this is the top or a staging area for a marginal new high.

TOTAL2ES - altcoin market cap (source: TradingView)
TOTAL2ES – altcoin market cap excluding stablecoins (source: TradingView)

First, the flow of capital through U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs remains the clearest read on marginal demand. Farside’s consolidated table shows net creations and redemptions day by day, allowi

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Author: Liam ‘Akiba’ Wright

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