“If the trading amounts to any one of these species of election or market manipulation, then it is also likely to artificially skew the pricing of contracts in a way that is divorced from election ‘fundamentals,’ thus creating volatility that will undoubtedly harm many smaller retail investors who have placed their own bets,” Better Markets said, urging the U.S. Court of Appeals to overturn a lower court’s decision that freed Kalshi to offer election markets.

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Author: Marc Hochstein