After suffering defeat against Grayscale in court, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is faced with a difficult decision on how to handle the wave of Bitcoin spot ETF applications knocking on its door.

The agency need not approve the applications, however: instead, it may choose to rescind prior approval of the nation’s Bitcoin futures ETFs, leaving all Bitcoin ETF options unavailable to U.S. buyers.

Will The SEC Spite BItcoiners?

Though an unlikely outcome, Bitcoin-supportive lawyer Joe Carlasare sees a full reversal on futures ETFs as within the realm of possibility.

“There is a decent chance that the SEC responds to this ruling today by reversing prior orders approving the futures ETFs,” he tweeted on Tuesday, following Grayscale’s victory. The lawyer assigns a 20% likelihood to this outcome.

The lawyer referred to an audio excerpt from the SEC’s oral arguments in March, during which an SEC lawyer said it may have to “think about the [Bitcoin futures ETFs] anew” if the court ruled in Grayscale’s favor.

Tuesday’s ruling deemed the SEC as being “arbitrary and capricious” in its denial of Grayscale’s Bitcoin spot ETF application, despite having approved multiple Bitcoin futures ETFs. The agency’s justifications for why futures ETFs were less prone to manipulation than spot ETFs were called “unreasonable.”

Were the SEC to rescind its previous futures ETF approvals, it could claim legal consistency while continuing to stonewall a spot ETF.

The SEC’s Motives

John Deaton – the crypto lawyer who represented thousands of XRP investors in RIpple’s lawsuit with the SEC – says he “wouldn’t put it past Gary Gensler” to do that.

“Gensler doesn’t care about the market reaction but he cares about politics,” he said of the SEC chairman on Tuesday. “But the fact that we can’t 100 percent rule it out, and that an appellate judge asked the question, speaks volumes.”

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