As of September 2025, mounting evidence suggests the US economy may be closer to a recession, with several key indicators raising alarms among economists and market observers.
The fallout could extend well beyond traditional markets. Crypto assets, often treated as high-risk, will likely come under heavy pressure as investors shift to safer holdings, setting the stage for heightened volatility and potential sell-offs.
Is the US in a Recession?
The most striking indicator is the job market data. According to earlier reporting from BeInCrypto, nonfarm payrolls slowed considerably in August, with only 22,000 jobs added compared to the projected 75,000.
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Of ~598,000 jobs added in President Donald Trump’s second term so far, 86% were in healthcare and social assistance. Outside healthcare, job creation has nearly stalled, signaling fragility.
Furthermore, in a post on X, Global Markets Investor noted that the US economy has shed 142,200 jobs over the past four months, marking the largest drop since the 2020 crisis.
“In the past, such a drop has usually happened at the onset of a recession,” the post read.
In another post, the analyst pointed to the alarming rise in the long-term unemployment rate. The count of Americans who have been jobless for 27 weeks or more has more than doubled since December 2022. T
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Author: Kamina Bashir
